Diverging Market Paths

The SPX has broken the downward trend of the bear market and has rising tops. This can be very good news for anyone bullish in their positions however there is more to the story to consider. First the SPX has rallied one of the fastest and longest rallies in 20 years. Secondly, The bear market was about a month and a half from top to bottom so far. This would be the shortest bear market outside of covid with the average bear market being 8 to 11 months. Not only that but the majority of data roughly 75% in my estimates is bearish from mid to long term. However any data about post bear market is always bullish(hence the Zweig Breadth Thrust) so regardless once this is done I would turn fully bullish. The issue at hand is when the bearish action is over and bottomed out. The very long term data however is almost entirely entirely bearish and we have double topped against the longest term top trend in history going back to the late 1800s. In the short term we could see a rally and even a month to two month rally with a higher higher and still end up with a new low months after, these types of situations have occurred before, not only that but Trump is an agent of chaos and I doubt he is going to remove all tariffs and their effects or at least he is likely to cause some other negative effects hence being an agent of chaos. In the very short term we could see the trend running away up and is likely to pullback to new uptrend around 545 to 540. I would advise not chasing stocks and waiting to buy on pullbacks near the trend. I hope you will all be cautious as this is a very suspicious rally and wouldn't make sense historically so be on guard and be fully aware the bear market could still be here to stay.